SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Jan, 2016 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone VICTOR is currently located near 15.0 S 166.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). VICTOR is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. VICTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
