TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2017 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OPHELIA is currently located near 37.3 N 21.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). OPHELIA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Scotland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Wales
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Lands End (50.1 N, 5.6 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 45 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KHANUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Oct, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon KHANUN is currently located near 19.9 N 114.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KHANUN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KHANUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Thanh Hoa (19.8 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OPHELIA is currently located near 35.9 N 23.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). OPHELIA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Northern Ireland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Wales
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Lerwick (60.2 N, 1.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Newcastle (55.0 N, 1.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
    Lands End (50.1 N, 5.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    York (54.2 N, 1.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Manchester (53.5 N, 2.3 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KHANUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KHANUN is currently located near 19.4 N 116.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). KHANUN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KHANUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane OPHELIA is currently located near 34.8 N 26.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). OPHELIA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Wales
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Lerwick (60.2 N, 1.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Newcastle (55.0 N, 1.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KHANUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KHANUN is currently located near 18.4 N 117.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). KHANUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 9:00 GMT

Hurricane OPHELIA is currently located near 33.9 N 28.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). OPHELIA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Ireland
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Northern Ireland
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Scotland
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    the Isle of Man
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    the Azores
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    England
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Wales
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    the Faeroe Islands
        probability for TS is 65% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ardara (54.8 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Sligo (54.3 N, 8.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Belmullet (54.2 N, 10.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Galway (53.3 N, 9.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Dingle (52.2 N, 10.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Cork (51.9 N, 8.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Bantry (51.7 N, 9.4 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Stornoway (58.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Ullapool (58.0 N, 5.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Portree (57.5 N, 6.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Inverness (57.3 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Oban (56.3 N, 5.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Glasgow (55.9 N, 4.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Stranraer (55.0 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Belfast (54.6 N, 5.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Dublin (53.3 N, 6.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Wexford (52.3 N, 6.5 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Dundee (56.5 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Edinburgh (55.8 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 69 hours
    Wick (58.5 N, 3.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Workington (54.6 N, 3.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Holyhead (53.3 N, 4.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Fishguard (51.9 N, 5.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Kirkwall (59.0 N, 3.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Aberdeen (57.2 N, 2.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Newcastle (55.0 N, 1.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Manchester (53.5 N, 2.3 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Lands End (50.1 N, 5.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    York (54.2 N, 1.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Cardiff (51.5 N, 3.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 69 hours
    Torshavn (62.0 N, 6.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Birmingham (52.5 N, 1.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KHANUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Oct, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KHANUN is currently located near 17.7 N 117.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). KHANUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).