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Saturday, September 23, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression OPHELIA is currently located near 37.1 N 77.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    Fredericksburg (38.2 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.8 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 36.2 N 77.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 30 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 30 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 6 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 35.6 N 77.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 35.1 N 77.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 6 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 18 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 6 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 18 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm OPHELIA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 23 Sep, 2023 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm OPHELIA is currently located near 34.3 N 76.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). OPHELIA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).