S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 5 Apr, 2021 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SEROJA is currently located near 10.6 S 122.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). SEROJA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Indonesia
probability for TS is 100% currently
Australia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sawu (10.6 S, 122.0 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Nemperola (10.9 S, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Kupang (10.2 S, 123.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% currently
Exmouth (21.9 S, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).