TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression MAN-YI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Sep, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression MAN-YI (16W) currently located near 21.7 N 142.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SIXTEEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression SIXTEEN (16W) currently located near 21.8 N 145.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.