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Thursday, September 1, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane HERMINE is currently located near 29.7 N 84.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). HERMINE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 45 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane LESTER

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane LESTER is currently located near 18.7 N 146.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). LESTER is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LESTER is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 26.4 N 130.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane GASTON is currently located near 38.3 N 36.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). GASTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LESTER

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane LESTER is currently located near 18.4 N 144.8 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LESTER is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LESTER is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane HERMINE is currently located near 28.5 N 85.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). HERMINE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 45 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 45 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane GASTON is currently located near 38.3 N 37.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). GASTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 25.8 N 130.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 011645
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
945 AM PDT Thu Sep 1 2016

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the areas listed above.

* Based on the depth of the earthquake a tsunami
is not expected.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 7.2
* Origin Time 0838 AKDT Sep 01 2016
0938 PDT Sep 01 2016
1638 UTC Sep 01 2016
* Coordinates 37.5 South 178.8 East
* Depth 99 miles
* Location off the east coast of North Island, New Zealand


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site ntwc.arh.noaa.gov for
additional information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon,
Washington, British Columbia and Alaska should refer to the
Pacific Tsunami Warning Center messages at ptwc.weather.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning center
message for this event unless additional information becomes
available.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 15:00 GMT

Hurricane GASTON is currently located near 37.6 N 40.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). GASTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NAMTHEUN is currently located near 25.0 N 130.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NAMTHEUN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HERMINE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 26.4 N 86.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LESTER

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane LESTER is currently located near 18.2 N 142.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). LESTER is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LESTER is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Honolulu (21.3 N, 157.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane GASTON

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane GASTON is currently located near 36.8 N 43.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). GASTON is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. GASTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Azores
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NAMTHEUN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Sep, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NAMTHEUN is currently located near 24.4 N 129.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). NAMTHEUN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.