N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 4 Sep, 2016 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm HERMINE is currently located near 36.5 N 72.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). HERMINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
