N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 29.5 N 75.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).