Pages

Thursday, September 21, 2023

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 22 Sep, 2023 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL16 is currently located near 29.5 N 75.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 33 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 21:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.2 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 33 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 69 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 33 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 69 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.0 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 72 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 48 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Washington D.C. (38.9 N, 77.0 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 29.0 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 42 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 42 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 42 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 66 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 66 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 42 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 42 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 42 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 66 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 66 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 66 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 66 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 30 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 66 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 90 hours
    Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 90 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 90 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 90 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression AL16

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 21 Sep, 2023 15:00 GMT

Tropical Depression AL16 is currently located near 28.7 N 75.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). AL16 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 45 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 45 hours
    New York (40.7 N, 73.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Belmar (40.1 N, 74.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 69 hours
    Philadelphia (39.9 N, 75.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 45 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Montauk (41.0 N, 72.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 45 hours
    Albany (42.7 N, 73.8 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Hartford (41.5 N, 72.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 69 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Baltimore (39.5 N, 76.0 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 69 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Providence (41.8 N, 71.4 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 69 hours
    Boston (42.3 N, 71.0 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 93 hours
    Montpelier (44.3 N, 72.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Concord (43.2 N, 71.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 93 hours
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).