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Monday, September 10, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 11 Sep, 2018 3:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 25.9 N 62.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FLORENCE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 117 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 11 Sep, 2018 0:00 GMT

Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 14.0 N 141.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 25.4 N 61.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). FLORENCE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 18:00 GMT

Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 14.0 N 142.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Guam
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1934 UTC MON SEP 10 2018

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1932 UTC SEP 10 2018
* COORDINATES 22.1 SOUTH 170.0 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION SOUTHEAST OF LOYALTY ISLANDS


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED
SOUTHEAST OF THE LOYALTY ISLANDS AT 1932 UTC ON MONDAY
SEPTEMBER 10 2018.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 15:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 25.0 N 60.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). FLORENCE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYSEVEN is currently located near 21.4 N 120.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYSEVEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane FLORENCE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 9:00 GMT

Hurricane FLORENCE is currently located near 24.9 N 58.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). FLORENCE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. FLORENCE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 93 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 69 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 93 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 93 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 93 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MANGKHUT

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 10 Sep, 2018 6:00 GMT

Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 14.3 N 145.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 120 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).