TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NEOGURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 7 Jul, 2014 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) currently located near 20.4 N 128.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 36 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
South Korea
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NEOGURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2014 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) currently located near 19.7 N 129.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NEOGURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2014 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) currently located near 18.9 N 130.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 96 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NEOGURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 6 Jul, 2014 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NEOGURI (08W) currently located near 18.5 N 131.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.