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Monday, July 13, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jul, 2015 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CLAUDETTE (AL03) currently located near 38.9 N 64.9 W is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Pierre and Miquelon
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Canada
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NANGKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Jul, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NANGKA (11W) currently located near 22.8 N 136.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NANGKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NANGKA (11W) currently located near 22.1 N 136.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NANGKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NANGKA (11W) currently located near 21.4 N 136.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NANGKA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 13 Jul, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NANGKA (11W) currently located near 20.5 N 137.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 96 hours
    Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
    Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 96 hours
    Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
    Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 120 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.