N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 May, 2020 12:00 GMT
Severe Cyclonic Storm AMPHAN is currently located near 12.0 N 86.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). AMPHAN is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. AMPHAN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Bangladesh
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Puri (19.9 N, 85.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Cuttack (20.5 N, 85.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Brahmapur (19.3 N, 84.9 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Jessore (23.2 N, 89.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Khulna (22.9 N, 89.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kolkata (22.5 N, 88.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Barisal (22.7 N, 90.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Kharagpur (22.4 N, 87.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Baleshwar (21.5 N, 87.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
