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Saturday, October 8, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 9 Oct, 2016 3:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 34.1 N 76.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MATTHEW is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% currently
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 21:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 33.8 N 78.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MATTHEW is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 15:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 33.0 N 79.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). MATTHEW is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AERE is currently located near 21.6 N 117.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MATTHEW

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW is currently located near 32.0 N 80.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MATTHEW is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MATTHEW is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AERE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2016 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AERE is currently located near 21.3 N 116.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). AERE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.