N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 8 Oct, 2018 3:00 GMT
Tropical Storm MICHAEL is currently located near 20.0 N 85.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). MICHAEL is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Cuba
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
Mexico
probability for TS is 80% currently
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 70% within 9 hours
Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
