S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2019 0:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 10.7 S 46.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). KENNETH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Comoros
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mayotte
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Tanzania
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).