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Tuesday, April 23, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Apr, 2019 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 10.7 S 46.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). KENNETH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KENNETH is currently located near 10.7 S 47.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Aldabra (9.0 S, 46.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm KENNETH is currently located near 10.6 S 48.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Mayotte
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Aldabra (9.0 S, 46.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Dzaoudzi (12.8 S, 45.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 23 Apr, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYFOUR is currently located near 10.3 S 49.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYFOUR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cosmoledo Is. (9.5 S, 47.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0545 UTC TUE APR 23 2019

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 0538 UTC APR 23 2019
* COORDINATES 11.9 NORTH 125.2 EAST
* DEPTH 86 KM / 54 MILES
* LOCATION SAMAR PHILIPPINES


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED IN
SAMAR, PHILIPPINES AT 0538 UTC ON TUESDAY APRIL 23 2019.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$