SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 Apr, 2017 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm SIXTEEN is currently located near 15.0 S 168.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). SIXTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Vanuatu
probability for TS is 100% currently
New Caledonia
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tasmaori (14.9 S, 168.1 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Lamen (16.6 S, 168.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Luganville (15.5 S, 167.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% currently
Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Onetar (14.3 S, 167.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Taktak (14.9 S, 166.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
