TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone MARCIA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2015 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone MARCIA (13P) currently located near 21.7 S 150.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Rockhampton (23.4 S, 150.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Gladstone (23.9 S, 151.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Lawrence (22.3 S, 149.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2015 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Cyclone LAM (12P) currently located near 12.6 S 134.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Tropical Cyclone LAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LAM (12P) currently located near 11.7 S 135.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Katherine (14.0 S, 132.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 36 hours
    Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone MARCIA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone MARCIA (13P) currently located near 20.6 S 150.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    St. Lawrence (22.3 S, 149.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Rockhampton (23.4 S, 150.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Mackay (21.3 S, 149.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Gladstone (23.9 S, 151.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone LAM

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone LAM (12P) currently located near 11.7 S 135.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Nhulunbuy (12.2 S, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Katherine (14.0 S, 132.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours
    Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
    Mataranka (14.9 S, 133.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.