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Saturday, October 19, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NEOGURI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Oct, 2019 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NEOGURI is currently located near 23.4 N 127.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). NEOGURI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NEOGURI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESTOR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 21:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm NESTOR is currently located near 30.4 N 84.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). NESTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 33 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BUALOI is currently located near 11.4 N 152.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESTOR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESTOR is currently located near 29.3 N 86.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NESTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Raleigh (35.8 N, 78.6 W)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours
    Norfolk (36.9 N, 76.2 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 33 hours
    Capeville (37.2 N, 75.9 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Columbia (34.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Tampa (28.0 N, 82.5 W)
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Richmond (37.5 N, 77.5 W)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Salisbury (38.3 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Charlotte (35.2 N, 80.8 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Atlantic City (39.0 N, 74.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm BUALOI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm BUALOI is currently located near 11.0 N 153.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). BUALOI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NESTOR

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NESTOR is currently located near 29.0 N 86.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). NESTOR is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tallahassee (30.4 N, 84.3 W)
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Savannah (32.0 N, 81.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Jacksonville (30.3 N, 81.7 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Myrtle Beach (33.7 N, 79.1 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Charleston (32.9 N, 80.0 W)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 21 hours
    Orlando (29.0 N, 81.5 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Hatteras (35.2 N, 75.6 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Wilmington (34.2 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Kitty Hawk (36.1 N, 75.7 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Oct, 2019 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm TWENTYTWO is currently located near 10.8 N 155.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). TWENTYTWO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Northern Mariana Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours
    Guam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hagatna (13.5 N, 144.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).