NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Sep, 2016 0:00 GMT
Typhoon MEGI is currently located near 19.2 N 131.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MEGI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MEGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 72 hours
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
the Philippines
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.