NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 14 Sep, 2017 18:00 GMT
Typhoon TALIM is currently located near 27.7 N 124.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). TALIM is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TALIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Fukuoka (33.6 N, 130.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 48 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Kumamoto (32.7 N, 130.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Hiroshima (34.4 N, 132.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Saga (33.3 N, 130.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 48 hours
Matsue (35.4 N, 133.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) China
probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
South Korea
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
the Russian Federation
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
probability for TS is 90% in about 72 hours
Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 96 hours
Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 72 hours
Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 96 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Yuzhno-Sakhalinsk (47.0 N, 142.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 96 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 72 hours
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
