TSR Storm Alert - Super Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 May, 2021 0:00 GMT

Super Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 18.5 N 71.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bombay (19.1 N, 72.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Daman (20.4 N, 73.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Bhavnagar (21.8 N, 72.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Pune (18.5 N, 73.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently
    Ahmadabad (23.0 N, 72.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2021 18:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 17.8 N 72.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bombay (19.1 N, 72.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Bhavnagar (21.8 N, 72.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Daman (20.4 N, 73.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2021 12:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 16.8 N 72.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Bombay (19.1 N, 72.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Pune (18.5 N, 73.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Daman (20.4 N, 73.0 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Bhavnagar (21.8 N, 72.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 May, 2021 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm TAUKTAE is currently located near 15.9 N 72.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). TAUKTAE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. TAUKTAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    India
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vijayadurg (16.6 N, 73.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Panaji (15.5 N, 73.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Harnai (17.8 N, 73.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Karwar (14.9 N, 74.1 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Bombay (19.1 N, 72.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Diu (20.7 N, 71.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Veraval (21.0 N, 70.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Pune (18.5 N, 73.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Daman (20.4 N, 73.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Bhavnagar (21.8 N, 72.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Morbi (22.7 N, 70.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Jamnagar (22.5 N, 70.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
    Porbandar (21.6 N, 69.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).