NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Sep, 2018 0:00 GMT
Super Typhoon MANGKHUT is currently located near 13.9 N 136.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 140 kts (161 mph). MANGKHUT is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MANGKHUT is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s) the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 60% in about 120 hours
Hong Kong
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s) Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s) Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Vietnam
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s) San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 72 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 72 hours
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 96 hours
Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 120 hours
Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 120 hours
Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 96 hours
Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Qionghai (19.2 N, 110.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 120 hours
Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Hanoi (21.0 N, 105.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Thai Binh (20.5 N, 106.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).
