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Tuesday, October 1, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FITOW

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 2 Oct, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FITOW (22W) currently located near 17.8 N 130.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FITOW

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FITOW (22W) currently located near 17.3 N 131.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FITOW

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FITOW (22W) currently located near 16.0 N 131.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Nagasaki (32.8 N, 129.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Kagoshima (31.5 N, 130.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FITOW

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Oct, 2013 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FITOW (22W) currently located near 15.0 N 131.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.