TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 002
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0458Z 27 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
THIS EARTHQUAKE APPEARS TO BE A SLOW EARTHQUAKE WITH ADDITIONAL
TSUNAMI POTENTIAL. THEREFORE A WARNING IS BEING ISSUED.
... A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT ...
A TSUNAMI WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
COSTA RICA / NICARAGUA / EL SALVADOR / HONDURAS / GUATEMALA /
PANAMA / MEXICO
FOR ALL OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS BULLETIN... IT IS FOR
INFORMATION ONLY AT THIS TIME.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0437Z 27 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 12.7 NORTH 88.5 WEST
DEPTH - 54 KM
LOCATION - OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA
MAGNITUDE - 7.3
EVALUATION
IT IS NOT KNOWN THAT A TSUNAMI WAS GENERATED. THIS WARNING IS
BASED ONLY ON THE EARTHQUAKE EVALUATION. AN EARTHQUAKE OF THIS
SIZE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO GENERATE A DESTRUCTIVE TSUNAMI THAT CAN
STRIKE COASTLINES IN THE REGION NEAR THE EPICENTER WITHIN MINUTES
TO HOURS. AUTHORITIES IN THE REGION SHOULD TAKE APPROPRIATE
ACTION IN RESPONSE TO THIS POSSIBILITY. THIS CENTER WILL MONITOR
SEA LEVEL GAUGES NEAREST THE REGION AND REPORT IF ANY TSUNAMI
WAVE ACTIVITY IS OBSERVED. THE WARNING WILL NOT EXPAND TO OTHER
AREAS OF THE PACIFIC UNLESS ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED TO
WARRANT SUCH AN EXPANSION.
ESTIMATED INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE ARRIVAL TIMES AT FORECAST POINTS
WITHIN THE WARNING AND WATCH AREAS ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
SUCCESSIVE WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION FORECAST POINT COORDINATES ARRIVAL TIME
-------------------------------- ------------ ------------
COSTA RICA CABO_SAN_ELENA 10.9N 274.0E 0526Z 27 AUG
PUERTO_QUEPOS 9.4N 275.8E 0553Z 27 AUG
CABO_MATAPALO 8.4N 276.7E 0555Z 27 AUG
NICARAGUA CORINTO 12.5N 272.8E 0532Z 27 AUG
PUERTO_SANDINO 12.2N 273.2E 0539Z 27 AUG
SAN_JUAN_DL_SUR 11.2N 274.1E 0551Z 27 AUG
EL SALVADOR ACAJUTLA 13.6N 270.2E 0543Z 27 AUG
HONDURAS AMAPALA 13.2N 272.4E 0556Z 27 AUG
GUATEMALA SIPICATE 13.9N 268.8E 0559Z 27 AUG
PANAMA PUNTA_BURICA 8.0N 277.1E 0605Z 27 AUG
PUNTA_MALA 7.5N 280.0E 0652Z 27 AUG
BALBOA_HTS. 9.0N 280.4E 0912Z 27 AUG
MEXICO PUERTO_MADERO 14.8N 267.5E 0606Z 27 AUG
BULLETINS WILL BE ISSUED HOURLY OR SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.
THE TSUNAMI WARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
Sunday, August 26, 2012
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0445Z 27 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0437Z 27 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 12.2 NORTH 88.5 WEST
DEPTH - 51 KM
LOCATION - OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA
MAGNITUDE - 7.4
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 0445Z 27 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 0437Z 27 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 12.2 NORTH 88.5 WEST
DEPTH - 51 KM
LOCATION - OFF COAST OF CENTRAL AMERICA
MAGNITUDE - 7.4
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TEMBIN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Jinhua (29.2 N, 120.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shanghai (31.2 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Hangzhou (30.3 N, 120.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOLAVEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Aug, 2012 0:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Khabarovsk (48.4 N, 135.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TEMBIN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOLAVEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 18:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Harbin (45.8 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Shenyang (41.8 N, 123.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Anshan (41.1 N, 123.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] Tsunami Information Bulletin
TSUNAMI BULLETIN NUMBER 001
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1513Z 26 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1506Z 26 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 2.2 NORTH 126.9 EAST
DEPTH - 106 KM
LOCATION - NORTHERN MOLUCCA SEA
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER/NOAA/NWS
ISSUED AT 1513Z 26 AUG 2012
THIS BULLETIN APPLIES TO AREAS WITHIN AND BORDERING THE PACIFIC
OCEAN AND ADJACENT SEAS...EXCEPT ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...
WASHINGTON...OREGON AND CALIFORNIA.
... TSUNAMI INFORMATION BULLETIN ...
THIS BULLETIN IS FOR INFORMATION ONLY.
THIS BULLETIN IS ISSUED AS ADVICE TO GOVERNMENT AGENCIES. ONLY
NATIONAL AND LOCAL GOVERNMENT AGENCIES HAVE THE AUTHORITY TO MAKE
DECISIONS REGARDING THE OFFICIAL STATE OF ALERT IN THEIR AREA AND
ANY ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN IN RESPONSE.
AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH THESE PRELIMINARY PARAMETERS
ORIGIN TIME - 1506Z 26 AUG 2012
COORDINATES - 2.2 NORTH 126.9 EAST
DEPTH - 106 KM
LOCATION - NORTHERN MOLUCCA SEA
MAGNITUDE - 6.7
EVALUATION
NO DESTRUCTIVE WIDESPREAD TSUNAMI THREAT EXISTS BASED ON
HISTORICAL EARTHQUAKE AND TSUNAMI DATA.
HOWEVER - EARTHQUAKES OF THIS SIZE SOMETIMES GENERATE LOCAL
TSUNAMIS THAT CAN BE DESTRUCTIVE ALONG COASTS LOCATED WITHIN
A HUNDRED KILOMETERS OF THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER. AUTHORITIES
IN THE REGION OF THE EPICENTER SHOULD BE AWARE OF THIS
POSSIBILITY AND TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION.
THIS WILL BE THE ONLY BULLETIN ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES AVAILABLE.
THE JAPAN METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY MAY ALSO ISSUE TSUNAMI MESSAGES
FOR THIS EVENT TO COUNTRIES IN THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC AND SOUTH
CHINA SEA REGION. IN CASE OF CONFLICTING INFORMATION... THE
MORE CONSERVATIVE INFORMATION SHOULD BE USED FOR SAFETY.
THE WEST COAST/ALASKA TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER WILL ISSUE PRODUCTS
FOR ALASKA...BRITISH COLUMBIA...WASHINGTON...OREGON...CALIFORNIA.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TEMBIN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 65% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 72 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Fu'an (27.1 N, 119.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ningbo (29.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOLAVEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 12:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
China
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Japan
probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 75% in about 72 hours
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours
Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon TEMBIN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon TEMBIN (15W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Taiwan
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
China
probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Taipei (25.0 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Hong Kong
probability for TS is 45% currently
the Philippines
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours
Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenzhou (27.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Fuzhou (26.1 N, 119.3 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Wenling (28.4 N, 121.4 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BOLAVEN
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2012 6:00 GMT
Typhoon BOLAVEN (16W) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
South Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
North Korea
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Okinawa (26.3 N, 127.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Japan
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
China
probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
Ch'ungju (36.6 N, 127.5 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Russian Federation
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Taegu (35.9 N, 128.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Hamhung (39.9 N, 127.6 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours
Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Pusan (35.2 N, 129.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Weihai (37.4 N, 122.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
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