TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HATO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 23 Aug, 2017 0:00 GMT

Typhoon HATO is currently located near 21.5 N 114.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). HATO is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HATO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HATO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2017 18:00 GMT

Typhoon HATO is currently located near 21.1 N 116.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). HATO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HATO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HATO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2017 12:00 GMT

Typhoon HATO is currently located near 20.7 N 117.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). HATO is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HATO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Macau
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Haikou (20.0 N, 110.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm HATO

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 22 Aug, 2017 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm HATO is currently located near 20.4 N 118.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). HATO is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Hong Kong
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Guangzhou (23.1 N, 113.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Maoming (21.9 N, 110.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Beihai (21.6 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Zhanjiang (21.2 N, 110.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Nanning (22.8 N, 108.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.