TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Nov, 2015 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.2 N 47.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Nov, 2015 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 14.0 N 47.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% currently
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 3 Nov, 2015 6:00 GMT

Severe Cyclonic Storm CHAPALA (04A) currently located near 13.9 N 47.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Yemen
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Irqah (13.7 N, 47.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    'Ataq (14.6 N, 46.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.