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Saturday, October 12, 2019

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAGIBIS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2019 18:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Typhoon HAGIBIS is currently located near 38.6 N 141.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). HAGIBIS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAGIBIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAGIBIS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2019 12:00 GMT

Typhoon HAGIBIS is currently located near 35.6 N 139.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). HAGIBIS is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAGIBIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm MELISSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2019 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm MELISSA is currently located near 38.1 N 68.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). MELISSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for TS is 95% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Siasconset (41.2 N, 70.2 W)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Chatham (41.7 N, 70.1 W)
        probability for TS is 75% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon HAGIBIS

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 12 Oct, 2019 6:00 GMT

Typhoon HAGIBIS is currently located near 33.7 N 138.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). HAGIBIS is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HAGIBIS is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shizuoka (35.0 N, 138.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kanazawa (36.8 N, 136.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Obama (35.4 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Nagoya (35.2 N, 136.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Osaka (34.6 N, 135.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Shiono-misaki (33.5 N, 135.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokushima (34.1 N, 134.6 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kushiro (43.0 N, 144.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).