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Monday, May 8, 2017

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone DONNA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 9 May, 2017 0:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone DONNA is currently located near 19.5 S 166.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). DONNA is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DONNA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone DONNA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 May, 2017 18:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone DONNA is currently located near 18.7 S 166.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). DONNA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DONNA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
1708 UTC MON MAY 8 2017

..PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.6
* ORIGIN TIME 1701 UTC MAY 8 2017
* COORDINATES 51.4 NORTH 178.6 WEST
* DEPTH 2 KM / 1 MILES
* LOCATION ANDREANOF ISLANDS ALEUTIAN IS. ALASKA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.6 OCCURRED IN
THE ANDREANOF ISLANDS, ALEUTIAN IS., ALASKA AT 1701 UTC ON
MONDAY MAY 8 2017.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 081705
TIBAK1

Tsunami Information Statement Number 1
NWS National Tsunami Warning Center Palmer AK
905 AM AKDT Mon May 8 2017

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA, BRITISH
COLUMBIA, WASHINGTON, OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* There is no tsunami danger for the U.S. West Coast, British
Columbia, or Alaska.

* Based on earthquake information and historic tsunami records,
the earthquake is not expected to generate a tsunami.

* An earthquake has occurred with parameters listed below.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* The following parameters are based on a rapid preliminary
assessment and changes may occur.

* Magnitude 6.6
* Origin Time 0901 AKDT May 08 2017
1001 PDT May 08 2017
1701 UTC May 08 2017
* Coordinates 51.4 North 178.6 West
* Depth 1 miles
* Location 105 miles E of Amchitka, Alaska
90 miles SW of Adak, Alaska


ADDITIONAL INFORMATION AND NEXT UPDATE
--------------------------------------
* Refer to the internet site tsunami.gov for more information.

* Pacific coastal regions outside California, Oregon, Washington,
British Columbia, and Alaska should refer to the Pacific Tsunami
Warning Center messages at tsunami.gov.

* This will be the only U.S. National Tsunami Warning Center
message issued for this event unless additional information
becomes available.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone DONNA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 May, 2017 12:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone DONNA is currently located near 18.0 S 165.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). DONNA is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DONNA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Norsup (16.0 S, 167.4 E)
        probability for TS is 55% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC DONNA

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 8 May, 2017 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC DONNA is currently located near 17.5 S 165.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 115 kts (132 mph). DONNA is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. DONNA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    New Caledonia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vanuatu
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tadine (21.5 S, 167.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Koumac (20.5 S, 164.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kone (21.0 S, 164.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Bourail (21.6 S, 165.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Noum'ea (22.2 S, 166.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Port Vila (17.7 S, 168.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Lenakel (19.5 S, 169.3 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.