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Monday, December 24, 2012

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression WUKONG

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2012 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression WUKONG (27W) currently located near 10.1 N 128.5 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Surigao (9.7 N, 125.5 E)
probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Taytay (10.8 N, 119.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 18:00 GMT

Tropical Depression TWENTY-SEVEN (27W) currently located near 10.0 N 129.6 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 50% in about 36 hours
San Juan (10.3 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Iloilo (10.9 N, 122.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Cebu (10.3 N, 123.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours
Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FOUR

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html.

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2012 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FOUR (04A) currently located near 7.9 N 53.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Somalia
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Eyl (8.0 N, 49.9 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.