SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Feb, 2016 0:00 GMT
Intense Tropical Cyclone WINSTON is currently located near 17.1 S 171.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 105 kts (121 mph). WINSTON is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Fiji
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 35% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Alofi (19.0 S, 169.9 W)
probability for TS is 60% currently
Nuku' alofa (21.1 S, 175.2 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
