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Thursday, March 15, 2018

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIFTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIFTEEN is currently located near 10.6 S 132.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). FIFTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Murgenella (11.7 S, 132.9 E)
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Oenpelli (12.3 S, 133.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELIAKIM

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 16 Mar, 2018 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELIAKIM is currently located near 16.0 S 51.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). ELIAKIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Ambositra (20.4 S, 47.1 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours
    Manakara (22.2 S, 48.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm FIFTEEN

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm FIFTEEN is currently located near 10.0 S 132.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). FIFTEEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Murgenella (11.7 S, 132.9 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELIAKIM

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2018 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELIAKIM is currently located near 15.8 S 51.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). ELIAKIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Antananarivo (18.9 S, 47.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Nosy-Varika (20.6 S, 48.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELIAKIM

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2018 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELIAKIM is currently located near 15.2 S 53.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). ELIAKIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELIAKIM

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 15 Mar, 2018 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELIAKIM is currently located near 14.9 S 53.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). ELIAKIM is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Madagascar
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Antalaha (14.9 S, 50.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Ambodifototra (16.9 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Maroantseta (15.4 S, 49.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Toamasina (18.2 S, 49.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Vohimarina (13.3 S, 49.9 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Analalava (14.7 S, 47.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours
    Vatomandry (19.3 S, 48.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).