N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 24 Aug, 2017 3:00 GMT
Tropical Depression HARVEY is currently located near 21.9 N 92.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). HARVEY is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the United States
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Mexico
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 117 hours
probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Corpus Christi (27.7 N, 97.3 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Armstrong (26.9 N, 97.8 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Brownsville (25.9 N, 97.5 W)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
