TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 18 Oct, 2015 0:00 GMT

Typhoon KOPPU (24W) currently located near 16.1 N 121.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2015 18:00 GMT

Typhoon KOPPU (24W) currently located near 16.0 N 122.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2015 12:00 GMT

Typhoon KOPPU (24W) currently located near 15.9 N 123.2 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon KOPPU

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 17 Oct, 2015 6:00 GMT

Typhoon KOPPU (24W) currently located near 15.7 N 123.8 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.