N Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 8 Dec, 2016 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm FIVE is currently located near 11.4 N 92.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). FIVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Port Blair (11.7 N, 92.8 E)
probability for TS is 95% currently
Machilipatnam (16.2 N, 81.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Vishakhapatnam (17.8 N, 83.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 72 hours
Kakinada (17.0 N, 82.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Kavali (15.0 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Nellore (14.4 N, 80.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Severe Cyclonic Storm strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
