Tropical Cyclone FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 21 Jan, 2012 18:00 GMT
Tropical Cyclone FUNSO (08S) is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Mozambique
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pebane (17.2 S, 38.2 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Quelimane (17.9 S, 36.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% currently
probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Moma (17.0 S, 39.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
probability for TS is 95% currently
Chinde (18.8 S, 36.3 E)
probability for TS is 80% currently
Vilanculos (22.0 S, 35.3 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Massinga (23.3 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhambane (23.9 S, 35.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 30% in about 96 hours
Inhassore (21.5 S, 35.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Cheline (22.5 S, 35.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 72 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Angoche (16.2 S, 40.0 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html
.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, RSA Insurance Group, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
