TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone HEROLD

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2020 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone HEROLD is currently located near 21.0 S 63.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). HEROLD is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HEROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Tropical Cyclone HEROLD

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 17 Mar, 2020 6:00 GMT

Intense Tropical Cyclone HEROLD is currently located near 19.1 S 60.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). HEROLD is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. HEROLD is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port Mathurin (19.7 S, 63.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).