A gathering of information, and sources, to aid with monitoring natural events, globally.
Monday, May 4, 2015
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0326 UTC TUE MAY 5 2015
...PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.4
* ORIGIN TIME 0144 UTC MAY 5 2015
* COORDINATES 5.5 SOUTH 152.0 EAST
* DEPTH 50 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.4 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0144 UTC ON
TUESDAY MAY 5 2015.
* THE PORT MORESBY OBSERVATORY HAS REPORTED SOME TSUNAMI
OSCILLATIONS IN RABAUL HARBOR.
* BASED ON ALL DATA AVAILABLE TO THIS CENTER... THE TSUNAMI
THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW MOSTLY PASSED. ANY
REMAINING THREAT SHOULD BE EVALUATED BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN
IMPACTED AREAS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------
* THE TSUNAMI THREAT HAS NOW LARGELY PASSED.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY IMPACTED COASTAL
AREAS SHOULD MONITOR CONDITIONS AT THE COAST TO DETERMINE IF
AND WHEN IT IS SAFE TO RESUME NORMAL ACTIVITIES.
* PERSONS LOCATED NEAR IMPACTED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM LOCAL
AUTHORITIES.
* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS OF UP TO 0.3 METERS ABOVE AND
BELOW THE NORMAL TIDE MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0239 UTC TUE MAY 5 2015
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0144 UTC MAY 5 2015
* COORDINATES 5.5 SOUTH 152.0 EAST
* DEPTH 50 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.5 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0144 UTC ON
TUESDAY MAY 5 2015.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------
* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF
PAPUA NEW GUINEA.
* NO TSUNAMI THREAT FOR ALL OTHER AREAS
* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.
* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED AS NECESSARY
IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN A REGION WITH FORECAST TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES OF
0.3 METERS AND GREATER ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES
MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. A
TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN WAVES CAN BE
FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
KAVIENG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.5S 150.7E 0258 05/05
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0216 UTC TUE MAY 5 2015
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
NOTE UPDATED EARTHQUAKE DEPTH
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS ... UPDATED
---------------------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0144 UTC MAY 5 2015
* COORDINATES 5.5 SOUTH 152.0 EAST
* DEPTH 50 KM / 31 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.4 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0144 UTC ON
TUESDAY MAY 5 2015.
* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES ARE
FORECAST FOR SOME COASTS.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST
-----------------------
* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 0.3 TO 1 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL
ARE POSSIBLE FOR SOME COASTS OF
PAPUA NEW GUINEA.
* ACTUAL AMPLITUDES AT THE COAST MAY VARY FROM FORECAST
AMPLITUDES DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE FORECAST AND LOCAL
FEATURES. IN PARTICULAR MAXIMUM TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES ON ATOLLS
WILL LIKELY BE MUCH SMALLER THAN THE FORECAST INDICATES.
* FOR OTHER AREAS COVERED BY THIS PRODUCT A FORECAST HAS NOT
YET BEEN COMPUTED. THE FORECAST WILL BE EXPANDED AS NECESSARY
IN SUBSEQUENT PRODUCTS.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITHIN A REGION WITH FORECAST TSUNAMI AMPLITUDES OF
0.3 METERS AND GREATER ARE GIVEN BELOW. ACTUAL ARRIVAL TIMES
MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE LARGEST. A
TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN WAVES CAN BE
FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
KAVIENG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.5S 150.7E 0258 05/05
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NOUL
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 5 May, 2015 0:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NOUL (06W) currently located near 9.4 N 138.9 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement
TIBAK1
PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
651 PM PDT MON MAY 4 2015
..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...
EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.
* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.
* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 1744 AKDT MAY 04 2015
1844 PDT MAY 04 2015
0144 UTC MAY 05 2015
* COORDINATES 5.6 SOUTH 152.1 EAST
* DEPTH 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION P.N.G.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.
* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
$$
[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0150 UTC TUE MAY 5 2015
...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.
NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.
**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****
PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.5
* ORIGIN TIME 0144 UTC MAY 5 2015
* COORDINATES 5.6 SOUTH 152.1 EAST
* DEPTH 10 KM / 6 MILES
* LOCATION NEW IRELAND REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA
EVALUATION
----------
* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.5 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0144 UTC ON
TUESDAY MAY 5 2015.
* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM OF
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.
TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------
* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF
PAPUA NEW GUINEA
.
RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------
* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.
* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.
ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------
* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH AN ETA WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.
LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
RABAUL PAPUA NEW GUINEA 4.2S 152.3E 0204 05/05
AMUN PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.0S 154.7E 0210 05/05
FALAMAE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.4S 155.6E 0216 05/05
WOODLARK ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.0S 152.9E 0216 05/05
KIETA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.1S 155.6E 0234 05/05
LAE PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.8S 147.0E 0237 05/05
ULAMONA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.0S 151.3E 0239 05/05
MUNDA SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.4S 157.2E 0247 05/05
PANGGOE SOLOMON ISLANDS 6.9S 157.2E 0248 05/05
KAVIENG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.5S 150.7E 0258 05/05
MADANG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.2S 145.8E 0310 05/05
HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 9.3S 160.0E 0317 05/05
GHATERE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.8S 159.2E 0320 05/05
MANUS ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.0S 147.5E 0323 05/05
KIRAKIRA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.4S 161.9E 0336 05/05
AUKI SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.8S 160.6E 0339 05/05
WEWAK PAPUA NEW GUINEA 3.5S 143.6E 0348 05/05
SANTA CRUZ ISLA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.9S 165.9E 0409 05/05
VANIMO PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.6S 141.3E 0410 05/05
JAYAPURA INDONESIA 2.4S 140.8E 0414 05/05
PORT MORESBY PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.3S 146.9E 0421 05/05
CHUUK ISLAND CHUUK 7.4N 151.8E 0424 05/05
POHNPEI ISLAND POHNPEI 7.0N 158.2E 0424 05/05
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 0425 05/05
NAURU NAURU 0.5S 166.9E 0437 05/05
KOSRAE ISLAND KOSRAE 5.5N 163.0E 0440 05/05
WARSA INDONESIA 0.6S 135.8E 0507 05/05
CAIRNS AUSTRALIA 16.7S 145.8E 0510 05/05
GUAM GUAM 13.4N 144.7E 0512 05/05
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 0516 05/05
SAIPAN NORTHERN MARIANA 15.3N 145.8E 0517 05/05
YAP ISLAND YAP 9.5N 138.1E 0526 05/05
MANOKWARI INDONESIA 0.8S 134.2E 0526 05/05
KWAJALEIN MARSHALL ISLANDS 8.7N 167.7E 0528 05/05
ENIWETOK MARSHALL ISLANDS 11.4N 162.3E 0530 05/05
NOUMEA NEW CALEDONIA 22.3S 166.5E 0532 05/05
MAJURO MARSHALL ISLANDS 7.1N 171.4E 0543 05/05
FUNAFUTI ISLAND TUVALU 7.9S 178.5E 0550 05/05
SORONG INDONESIA 0.8S 131.1E 0556 05/05
MALAKAL PALAU 7.3N 134.5E 0605 05/05
BRISBANE AUSTRALIA 27.2S 153.3E 0607 05/05
MINAMITORISHIMA MINAMITORISHIMA 24.3N 154.0E 0614 05/05
BEREBERE INDONESIA 2.5N 128.7E 0616 05/05
WAKE ISLAND WAKE ISLAND 19.3N 166.6E 0617 05/05
TARAWA ISLAND KIRIBATI 1.5N 173.0E 0622 05/05
PATANI INDONESIA 0.4N 128.8E 0630 05/05
FUTUNA ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 14.3S 178.2W 0642 05/05
GEME INDONESIA 4.6N 126.8E 0644 05/05
SYDNEY AUSTRALIA 33.9S 151.4E 0649 05/05
HOWLAND ISLAND HOWLAND AND BAKE 0.6N 176.6W 0650 05/05
WALLIS ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 13.3S 176.3W 0650 05/05
CHICHI JIMA JAPAN 27.0N 142.3E 0652 05/05
SUVA FIJI 18.1S 178.4E 0652 05/05
DAVAO PHILIPPINES 6.8N 125.7E 0655 05/05
TABUKAN TENGAH INDONESIA 3.6N 125.6E 0656 05/05
NUKUNONU ISLAND TOKELAU 9.2S 171.8W 0709 05/05
KANTON ISLAND KIRIBATI 2.8S 171.7W 0713 05/05
RAOUL ISLAND KERMADEC ISLANDS 29.2S 177.9W 0721 05/05
APIA SAMOA 13.8S 171.8W 0726 05/05
GLADSTONE AUSTRALIA 23.8S 151.4E 0727 05/05
NORTH CAPE NEW ZEALAND 34.4S 173.3E 0728 05/05
LEGASPI PHILIPPINES 13.2N 123.8E 0731 05/05
PAGO PAGO AMERICAN SAMOA 14.3S 170.7W 0735 05/05
NUKUALOFA TONGA 21.0S 175.2W 0741 05/05
KATSUURA JAPAN 35.1N 140.3E 0743 05/05
HACHIJO JIMA JAPAN 33.1N 139.8E 0745 05/05
PALANAN PHILIPPINES 17.1N 122.6E 0745 05/05
POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------
* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.
* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.
* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.
* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.
NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.
* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.
* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.
* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.
$$
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NOUL
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 May, 2015 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NOUL (06W) currently located near 9.6 N 139.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 96 hours
probability for TS is 25% in about 96 hours
Tuguegarao (17.6 N, 121.8 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NOUL
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 May, 2015 12:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NOUL (06W) currently located near 9.6 N 139.7 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 20% in about 96 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.
TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NOUL
NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 4 May, 2015 6:00 GMT
Tropical Storm NOUL (06W) currently located near 9.8 N 140.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)Yap (9.5 N, 138.0 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 96 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 120 hours
probability for TS is 15% in about 120 hours
Note that
Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/
To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html
To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.
This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.