TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 3 Jul, 2021 3:00 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 14.8 N 66.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    the Cayman Islands
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 33 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 21:00 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 14.2 N 63.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 21 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 33 hours
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Monte Cristi (19.8 N, 71.6 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Camaguey (21.4 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert (CORRECTION) - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 15:00 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 13.4 N 61.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Lucia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Barbados
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Montego Bay (18.5 N, 77.9 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 69 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 15:00 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 13.4 N 61.2 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    St. Lucia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Barbados
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Cuba
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Jamaica
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    St. Croix (17.7 N, 64.9 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Santiago De Cuba (20.0 N, 75.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 12:30 GMT

Hurricane ELSA is currently located near 13.1 N 60.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). ELSA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Barbados
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours
    St. Lucia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Martinique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 6 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 6 hours
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 95% within 6 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 80% within 6 hours
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 80% within 6 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 30 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 30 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 55% in about 18 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 30 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 30 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ELSA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 2 Jul, 2021 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ELSA is currently located near 12.7 N 58.6 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). ELSA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Martinique
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    St. Lucia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    St. Vincent and the Grenadines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 9 hours
    Barbados
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Dominica
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Grenada
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    Guadeloupe
        probability for TS is 80% within 9 hours
    the Dominican Republic
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Puerto Rico
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Haiti
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 33 hours
    Montserrat
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Santo Domingo (18.7 N, 69.9 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours
    Port-au-Prince (18.4 N, 72.3 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).