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Saturday, November 16, 2013

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression THIRTY

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Nov, 2013 6:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Depression THIRTY (30W) currently located near 10.8 N 80.3 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
India
probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Nagappattinam (10.8 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 70% currently

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Sri Lanka
probability for TS is 40% currently
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Pondicherry (11.9 N, 79.8 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently
Jaffna (9.7 N, 80.0 E)
probability for TS is 35% currently

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.