TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NOCK-TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Dec, 2016 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NOCK-TEN is currently located near 13.5 N 126.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 135 kts (155 mph). NOCK-TEN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NOCK-TEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 90% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NOCK-TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NOCK-TEN is currently located near 13.6 N 126.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). NOCK-TEN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NOCK-TEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 85% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NOCK-TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NOCK-TEN is currently located near 13.4 N 127.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). NOCK-TEN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NOCK-TEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NOCK-TEN

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 24 Dec, 2016 6:00 GMT

Typhoon NOCK-TEN is currently located near 13.3 N 128.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). NOCK-TEN is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NOCK-TEN is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.