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Monday, August 29, 2016

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LIONROCK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 30 Aug, 2016 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LIONROCK is currently located near 36.0 N 142.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LIONROCK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Sapporo (43.1 N, 141.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Asahikawa (43.8 N, 142.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Ch'ongjin (41.8 N, 129.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Intense Hurricane MADELINE

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2016 21:00 GMT

Intense Hurricane MADELINE is currently located near 18.6 N 145.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). MADELINE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MADELINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LIONROCK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2016 18:00 GMT

Typhoon LIONROCK is currently located near 34.3 N 143.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LIONROCK is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LIONROCK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LIONROCK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2016 12:00 GMT

Typhoon LIONROCK is currently located near 32.7 N 143.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). LIONROCK is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LIONROCK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane MADELINE

NE Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2016 9:00 GMT

Hurricane MADELINE is currently located near 17.8 N 143.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). MADELINE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MADELINE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Hilo (19.7 N, 155.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 20% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon LIONROCK

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Aug, 2016 6:00 GMT

Typhoon LIONROCK is currently located near 31.4 N 142.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 85 kts (98 mph). LIONROCK is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LIONROCK is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Japan
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    the Russian Federation
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    North Korea
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Iwaki (37.0 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Akita (39.8 N, 140.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Sakata (39.0 N, 140.0 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Sendai (38.3 N, 140.9 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Aomori (40.8 N, 140.8 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Miyako (39.7 N, 141.9 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Niigata (37.8 N, 139.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Vladivostok (43.1 N, 132.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Tokyo (35.7 N, 139.8 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.