TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Apr, 2019 18:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone KENNETH is currently located near 12.3 S 40.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 75 kts (86 mph). KENNETH is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Tanzania
        probability for TS is 75% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Apr, 2019 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC KENNETH is currently located near 12.1 S 40.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 120 kts (138 mph). KENNETH is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Tanzania
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Memba (14.2 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC KENNETH

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 25 Apr, 2019 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC KENNETH is currently located near 11.6 S 41.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). KENNETH is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. KENNETH is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mozambique
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Ibo (12.4 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pemba (13.0 S, 40.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Comoros
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Tanzania
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Moroni (11.7 S, 43.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Palma (10.7 S, 40.4 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).