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Monday, October 26, 2020

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ZETA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2020 3:00 GMT

Hurricane ZETA is currently located near 20.2 N 87.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). ZETA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ZETA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
    New Orleans (30.0 N, 90.1 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MOLAVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 27 Oct, 2020 0:00 GMT

Typhoon MOLAVE is currently located near 13.3 N 114.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). MOLAVE is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MOLAVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Laos
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane ZETA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 21:00 GMT

Hurricane ZETA is currently located near 19.5 N 86.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). ZETA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. ZETA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 9 hours
    Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MOLAVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 18:00 GMT

Typhoon MOLAVE is currently located near 13.2 N 115.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MOLAVE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MOLAVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Nha Trang (12.2 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Ubon Ratchathani (15.2 N, 104.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Yasothon (15.8 N, 104.2 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 72 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ZETA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 15:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ZETA is currently located near 19.1 N 85.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). ZETA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% within 9 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 9 hours
    Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 9 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MOLAVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MOLAVE is currently located near 13.3 N 117.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MOLAVE is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MOLAVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 75% currently
    Laos
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm ZETA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm ZETA is currently located near 18.7 N 84.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). ZETA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Cozumel (20.4 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 21 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 21 hours
    Merida (21.0 N, 89.6 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MOLAVE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Oct, 2020 6:00 GMT

Typhoon MOLAVE is currently located near 13.5 N 118.9 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). MOLAVE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MOLAVE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Vietnam
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Quang Ngai (15.1 N, 108.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Laos
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    China
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Cambodia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Thailand
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Mamburao (13.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 95% currently
    Da Nang (16.1 N, 108.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 48 hours
    Dong Ha (16.9 N, 107.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 72 hours
    Qui Nhon (13.8 N, 109.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 48 hours
    Kon Tum (14.3 N, 108.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Dong Hoi (17.5 N, 106.6 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 48 hours
    Yaxian (18.4 N, 109.4 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Tuy Hoa (13.1 N, 109.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% currently

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).