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Friday, May 1, 2015

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm QUANG

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 1 May, 2015 12:00 GMT (Final Warning)

Tropical Storm QUANG (24S) currently located near 22.4 S 115.1 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for TS is 90% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 70% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 2
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0848 UTC FRI MAY 1 2015

...PTWC FINAL TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 0806 UTC MAY 1 2015
* COORDINATES 5.3 SOUTH 151.8 EAST
* DEPTH 60 KM / 37 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0806 UTC ON FRIDAY
MAY 1 2015.

* BASED ON ALL DATA AVAILABLE TO THIS CENTER... THE TSUNAMI
THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE HAS NOW MOSTLY PASSED. ANY
REMAINING THREAT SHOULD BE EVALUATED BY LOCAL AUTHORITIES IN
IMPACTED AREAS.

* NOTE THAT BASED ON THE CMT SOLUTION THE MAGNITUDE HAS DECREASED
FROM THE INITIAL ESTIMATE. FORECAST MODEL SIMULATIONS SHOW
NO SIGNIFICANT TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EVENT.

TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* THERE IS NO LONGER A TSUNAMI THREAT FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* REMAIN OBSERVANT AND EXERCISE NORMAL CAUTION NEAR THE SEA.
OTHERWISE... NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* MINOR SEA LEVEL FLUCTUATIONS OF UP TO 0.3 METERS ABOVE AND
BELOW THE NORMAL TIDE MAY CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE FINAL STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
NEW INFORMATION IS RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Cyclone QUANG

S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 1 May, 2015 6:00 GMT

Tropical Cyclone QUANG (24S) currently located near 21.7 S 114.0 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Australia
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Exmouth (22.0 S, 114.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Onslow (21.7 S, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Cardabia (23.0 S, 113.9 E)
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Pannawonica (21.8 S, 116.3 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

[Tsunami Message - IOC] NWS-NTWC Tsunami Information Statement

WEAK53 PAAQ 010815
TIBAK1

PUBLIC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER PALMER AK
115 AM PDT FRI MAY 1 2015

..THIS IS A TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT FOR ALASKA/ BRITISH
COLUMBIA/ WASHINGTON/ OREGON AND CALIFORNIA...

EVALUATION
----------
* THERE IS NO TSUNAMI DANGER FOR THE AREAS LISTED ABOVE.

* BASED ON EARTHQUAKE INFORMATION AND HISTORIC TSUNAMI RECORDS
THE EARTHQUAKE WAS NOT SUFFICIENT TO GENERATE A TSUNAMI.

* AN EARTHQUAKE HAS OCCURRED WITH PARAMETERS LISTED BELOW.


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------
* MAGNITUDE 7.1
* ORIGIN TIME 0006 AKDT MAY 01 2015
0106 PDT MAY 01 2015
0806 UTC MAY 01 2015
* COORDINATES 5.3 SOUTH 151.8 EAST
* DEPTH 38 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION P.N.G.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------
* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY U.S. NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER
MESSAGE FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION BECOMES
AVAILABLE.

* REFER TO THE INTERNET SITE NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

* PACIFIC COASTAL REGIONS OUTSIDE CALIFORNIA... OREGON...
WASHINGTON... BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD REFER TO THE
PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES AT PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

$$

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE

TSUNAMI MESSAGE NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER EWA BEACH HI
0813 UTC FRI MAY 1 2015

...PTWC TSUNAMI THREAT MESSAGE...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS MESSAGE IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 7.1
* ORIGIN TIME 0806 UTC MAY 1 2015
* COORDINATES 5.3 SOUTH 151.8 EAST
* DEPTH 61 KM / 38 MILES
* LOCATION NEW BRITAIN REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 7.1 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW BRITAIN REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0806 UTC ON FRIDAY
MAY 1 2015.

* BASED ON THE PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS... HAZARDOUS
TSUNAMI WAVES ARE POSSIBLE FOR COASTS LOCATED WITHIN 300 KM OF
THE EARTHQUAKE EPICENTER.


TSUNAMI THREAT FORECAST...UPDATED
---------------------------------

* HAZARDOUS TSUNAMI WAVES FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN 300 KM OF THE EPICENTER ALONG THE COASTS OF

PAPUA NEW GUINEA
.



RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* GOVERNMENT AGENCIES RESPONSIBLE FOR THREATENED COASTAL AREAS
SHOULD TAKE ACTION TO INFORM AND INSTRUCT ANY COASTAL
POPULATIONS AT RISK IN ACCORDANCE WITH THEIR OWN EVALUATION...
PROCEDURES AND THE LEVEL OF THREAT.

* PERSONS LOCATED IN THREATENED COASTAL AREAS SHOULD STAY ALERT
FOR INFORMATION AND FOLLOW INSTRUCTIONS FROM NATIONAL AND
LOCAL AUTHORITIES.


ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL
--------------------------

* ESTIMATED TIMES OF ARRIVAL -ETA- OF THE INITIAL TSUNAMI WAVE
FOR PLACES WITH AN ETA WITHIN THE NEXT SIX HOURS. ACTUAL
ARRIVAL TIMES MAY DIFFER AND THE INITIAL WAVE MAY NOT BE THE
LARGEST. A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES AND THE TIME BETWEEN
WAVES CAN BE FIVE MINUTES TO ONE HOUR.

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
RABAUL PAPUA NEW GUINEA 4.2S 152.3E 0824 05/01
AMUN PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.0S 154.7E 0835 05/01
FALAMAE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.4S 155.6E 0841 05/01
WOODLARK ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.0S 152.9E 0842 05/01
KIETA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.1S 155.6E 0858 05/01
ULAMONA PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.0S 151.3E 0900 05/01
LAE PAPUA NEW GUINEA 6.8S 147.0E 0904 05/01
MUNDA SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.4S 157.2E 0912 05/01
PANGGOE SOLOMON ISLANDS 6.9S 157.2E 0912 05/01
KAVIENG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.5S 150.7E 0918 05/01
MADANG PAPUA NEW GUINEA 5.2S 145.8E 0937 05/01
HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 9.3S 160.0E 0942 05/01
MANUS ISLAND PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.0S 147.5E 0943 05/01
GHATERE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.8S 159.2E 0944 05/01
KIRAKIRA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.4S 161.9E 1001 05/01
AUKI SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.8S 160.6E 1004 05/01
WEWAK PAPUA NEW GUINEA 3.5S 143.6E 1015 05/01
SANTA CRUZ ISLA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.9S 165.9E 1034 05/01
VANIMO PAPUA NEW GUINEA 2.6S 141.3E 1036 05/01
JAYAPURA INDONESIA 2.4S 140.8E 1040 05/01
CHUUK ISLAND CHUUK 7.4N 151.8E 1047 05/01
POHNPEI ISLAND POHNPEI 7.0N 158.2E 1047 05/01
PORT MORESBY PAPUA NEW GUINEA 9.3S 146.9E 1047 05/01
ESPERITU SANTO VANUATU 15.1S 167.3E 1050 05/01
NAURU NAURU 0.5S 166.9E 1101 05/01
KOSRAE ISLAND KOSRAE 5.5N 163.0E 1103 05/01
WARSA INDONESIA 0.6S 135.8E 1133 05/01
GUAM GUAM 13.4N 144.7E 1135 05/01
CAIRNS AUSTRALIA 16.7S 145.8E 1136 05/01
SAIPAN NORTHERN MARIANA 15.3N 145.8E 1140 05/01
ANATOM ISLAND VANUATU 20.2S 169.9E 1140 05/01
YAP ISLAND YAP 9.5N 138.1E 1149 05/01
KWAJALEIN MARSHALL ISLANDS 8.7N 167.7E 1151 05/01
MANOKWARI INDONESIA 0.8S 134.2E 1152 05/01
ENIWETOK MARSHALL ISLANDS 11.4N 162.3E 1153 05/01
NOUMEA NEW CALEDONIA 22.3S 166.5E 1157 05/01
MAJURO MARSHALL ISLANDS 7.1N 171.4E 1207 05/01
FUNAFUTI ISLAND TUVALU 7.9S 178.5E 1215 05/01
SORONG INDONESIA 0.8S 131.1E 1223 05/01
MALAKAL PALAU 7.3N 134.5E 1228 05/01
BRISBANE AUSTRALIA 27.2S 153.3E 1233 05/01
MINAMITORISHIMA MINAMITORISHIMA 24.3N 154.0E 1237 05/01
WAKE ISLAND WAKE ISLAND 19.3N 166.6E 1240 05/01
BEREBERE INDONESIA 2.5N 128.7E 1242 05/01
TARAWA ISLAND KIRIBATI 1.5N 173.0E 1246 05/01
PATANI INDONESIA 0.4N 128.8E 1256 05/01
GEME INDONESIA 4.6N 126.8E 1307 05/01
FUTUNA ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 14.3S 178.2W 1307 05/01
CHICHI JIMA JAPAN 27.0N 142.3E 1315 05/01
HOWLAND ISLAND HOWLAND AND BAKE 0.6N 176.6W 1315 05/01
WALLIS ISLAND WALLIS AND FUTUN 13.3S 176.3W 1315 05/01
SYDNEY AUSTRALIA 33.9S 151.4E 1315 05/01
SUVA FIJI 18.1S 178.4E 1317 05/01
DAVAO PHILIPPINES 6.8N 125.7E 1318 05/01
TABUKAN TENGAH INDONESIA 3.6N 125.6E 1322 05/01
NUKUNONU ISLAND TOKELAU 9.2S 171.8W 1334 05/01
KANTON ISLAND KIRIBATI 2.8S 171.7W 1338 05/01
RAOUL ISLAND KERMADEC ISLANDS 29.2S 177.9W 1346 05/01
APIA SAMOA 13.8S 171.8W 1350 05/01
GLADSTONE AUSTRALIA 23.8S 151.4E 1353 05/01
NORTH CAPE NEW ZEALAND 34.4S 173.3E 1353 05/01
LEGASPI PHILIPPINES 13.2N 123.8E 1354 05/01
PAGO PAGO AMERICAN SAMOA 14.3S 170.7W 1400 05/01
NUKUALOFA TONGA 21.0S 175.2W 1406 05/01
KATSUURA JAPAN 35.1N 140.3E 1406 05/01
HACHIJO JIMA JAPAN 33.1N 139.8E 1407 05/01
PALANAN PHILIPPINES 17.1N 122.6E 1408 05/01


POTENTIAL IMPACTS
-----------------

* A TSUNAMI IS A SERIES OF WAVES. THE TIME BETWEEN WAVE CRESTS
CAN VARY FROM 5 MINUTES TO AN HOUR. THE HAZARD MAY PERSIST FOR
MANY HOURS OR LONGER AFTER THE INITIAL WAVE.

* IMPACTS CAN VARY SIGNIFICANTLY FROM ONE SECTION OF COAST TO
THE NEXT DUE TO LOCAL BATHYMETRY AND THE SHAPE AND ELEVATION
OF THE SHORELINE.

* IMPACTS CAN ALSO VARY DEPENDING UPON THE STATE OF THE TIDE AT
THE TIME OF THE MAXIMUM TSUNAMI WAVES.

* PERSONS CAUGHT IN THE WATER OF A TSUNAMI MAY DROWN... BE
CRUSHED BY DEBRIS IN THE WATER... OR BE SWEPT OUT TO SEA.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THE NEXT MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED IN ONE HOUR... OR SOONER IF
THE SITUATION WARRANTS.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV/EARTHQUAKES -ALL LOWER CASE-.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV AND AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
PTWC.WEATHER.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S. NATIONAL
TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
NTWC.ARH.NOAA.GOV.

$$