TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RUMBIA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 29 Jun, 2013 0:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 12.0 N 125.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 85% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 85% currently
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 55% currently

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm RUMBIA

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jun, 2013 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm RUMBIA (06W) currently located near 11.4 N 126.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours

Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 50% within 12 hours
Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
probability for TS is 45% in about 24 hours
San Jose (15.8 N, 121.5 E)
probability for TS is 35% in about 24 hours

Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression SIX

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 28 Jun, 2013 12:00 GMT

Tropical Depression SIX (06W) currently located near 10.4 N 127.4 E is forecast to strike land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Green Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
the Philippines
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Green Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
probability for TS is 45% within 12 hours
Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
probability for TS is 40% within 12 hours

Note that
Green Alert (Low) is TS to between 31% and 50% probability.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Aon Benfield, Crawford & Company and Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.