TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 20 Feb, 2016 0:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.2 S 179.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 160 kts (184 mph). WINSTON is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 100% currently
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 95% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 80% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 75% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2016 18:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.2 S 178.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 145 kts (167 mph). WINSTON is a category 5 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2016 12:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.3 S 177.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). WINSTON is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.

TSR Storm Alert - Very Intense TC WINSTON

SW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 19 Feb, 2016 6:00 GMT

Very Intense TC WINSTON is currently located near 17.5 S 175.9 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 125 kts (144 mph). WINSTON is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. WINSTON is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):

Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Fiji
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Naduri (16.4 S, 179.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
    Suva (18.1 S, 178.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Tavua (17.4 S, 177.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Nadi (17.8 S, 177.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at http://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) which is sponsored by UCL, Crawford & Company and the Aon Benfield UCL Hazard Research Centre.