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Monday, October 31, 2022

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LISA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2022 3:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LISA is currently located near 15.6 N 79.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LISA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 21 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Roatan (16.3 N, 86.5 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 33 hours
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 1 Nov, 2022 0:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 19.1 N 116.1 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% within 12 hours
    Ganzhou (25.7 N, 115.0 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LISA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 21:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LISA is currently located near 15.5 N 78.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 40kts (46 mph). LISA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 18:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 18.6 N 116.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 36 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 12:00 GMT

Typhoon NALGAE is currently located near 18.0 N 116.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). NALGAE is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Macau
        probability for TS is 80% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm AL15

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm AL15 is currently located near 15.8 N 76.1 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). AL15 is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Jamaica
        probability for TS is 75% within 9 hours
    Mexico
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belize
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Guatemala
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Honduras
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kingston (18.0 N, 76.8 W)
        probability for TS is 55% within 9 hours
    Chetumal (18.5 N, 88.3 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belize City (17.5 N, 88.2 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    Belmopan (17.1 N, 88.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours
    San Pedro Sula (15.5 N, 88.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 69 hours
        probability for TS is 25% in about 69 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm NALGAE

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 31 Oct, 2022 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm NALGAE is currently located near 17.3 N 116.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 60kts (69 mph). NALGAE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    the Philippines
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Hong Kong
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Yunxiao (23.9 N, 117.2 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    Zhangzhou (24.5 N, 117.8 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Shantou (23.0 N, 116.2 E)
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    Quanzhou (25.0 N, 118.5 E)
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    T'aichung (24.1 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Hong Kong (22.4 N, 114.2 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Putian (25.6 N, 119.0 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).