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Tuesday, August 25, 2020

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LAURA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2020 3:00 GMT

Hurricane LAURA is currently located near 25.2 N 89.5 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 80 kts (92 mph). LAURA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 21 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 21 hours
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 21 hours
    Shreveport (32.6 N, 94.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 33 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 26 Aug, 2020 0:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 32.4 N 124.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). BAVI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    North Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 70% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 100% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% currently
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Changchun (43.9 N, 125.3 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LAURA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 21:00 GMT

Hurricane LAURA is currently located near 24.7 N 88.3 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 70 kts (81 mph). LAURA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 45% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 21 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Baton Rouge (30.5 N, 91.2 W)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 45 hours
    Houston (29.8 N, 95.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 33 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Shreveport (32.6 N, 94.0 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 18:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 31.3 N 124.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). BAVI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 55% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 100% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for TS is 85% in about 24 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours
    P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 24 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 12:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 30.6 N 125.2 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). BAVI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 95% within 12 hours
    North Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 40% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
    P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LAURA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 15:00 GMT

Hurricane LAURA is currently located near 23.7 N 87.0 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LAURA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 33 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 70% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 33 hours
    Houston (29.8 N, 95.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Hurricane LAURA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 11:15 GMT

Hurricane LAURA is currently located near 23.4 N 86.4 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 65 kts (75 mph). LAURA is a category 1 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 85% within 7 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 43 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 43 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 43 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 43 hours
    Houston (29.8 N, 95.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 43 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 43 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon BAVI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 6:00 GMT

Typhoon BAVI is currently located near 29.9 N 125.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 95 kts (109 mph). BAVI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. BAVI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    South Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 60% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
    North Korea
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 36 hours

Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    China
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Cheju (33.5 N, 126.5 E)
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
    Mokpo (34.9 N, 126.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours
    Kunsan (36.0 N, 126.8 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 36 hours
    Sariwon (38.5 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Seoul (37.5 N, 126.9 E)
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    P'yongyang (39.0 N, 125.8 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Sinuiju (40.1 N, 124.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours
    Kanggye (41.0 N, 126.6 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm LAURA

N Atlantic: Storm Alert issued at 25 Aug, 2020 9:00 GMT

Tropical Storm LAURA is currently located near 22.9 N 85.7 W with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). LAURA is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Cuba
        probability for TS is 100% currently
    Mexico
        probability for TS is 85% within 9 hours
    the United States
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 45 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Pinar Del Rio (22.4 N, 83.7 W)
        probability for TS is 85% currently
    Cancun (21.0 N, 87.0 W)
        probability for TS is 60% within 9 hours
    Galveston (29.4 N, 94.8 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 45 hours
    Houston (29.8 N, 95.4 W)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 45 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 45 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Hurricane strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/chg_prefs.html

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form at https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/unsubscribe.html.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).