S Indian Ocean: Storm Alert issued at 13 Mar, 2025 18:00 GMT
Tropical Storm JUDE is currently located near 21.1 S 39.5 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 45kts (52 mph). JUDE is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):
Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
Madagascar
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 100% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
Toliara (23.4 S, 43.7 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
probability for TS is 95% in about 24 hours
Ambovombe (25.2 S, 46.1 E)
probability for TS is 95% in about 36 hours
Betioky (23.7 S, 44.4 E)
probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Tolanaro (25.0 S, 47.0 E)
probability for TS is 85% in about 36 hours
Morombe (21.8 S, 43.4 E)
probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Note that
Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
CAT 1 means Tropical Cyclone strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.
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