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Friday, November 15, 2024

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Depression USAGI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Nov, 2024 0:00 GMT

Tropical Depression USAGI is currently located near 22.5 N 120.3 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 30kts (35 mph). USAGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 80% currently
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 80% currently

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

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This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MAN-YI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 16 Nov, 2024 0:00 GMT

Typhoon MAN-YI is currently located near 12.5 N 126.7 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 130 kts (150 mph). MAN-YI is a category 4 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MAN-YI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 65% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 90% within 12 hours
Red Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 35% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 70% in about 48 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 65% within 12 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm USAGI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 18:00 GMT

Tropical Storm USAGI is currently located near 22.3 N 120.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 35kts (40 mph). USAGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 85% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MAN-YI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 18:00 GMT

Typhoon MAN-YI is currently located near 12.0 N 127.8 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 110 kts (127 mph). MAN-YI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MAN-YI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 80% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 36 hours
    Laoag (18.2 N, 120.7 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Vigan (17.5 N, 120.5 E)
        probability for TS is 65% in about 48 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% within 12 hours
        probability for TS is 60% within 12 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 36 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

[Tsunami Message - IOC] PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT

TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT NUMBER 1
NWS PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER HONOLULU HI
0535 UTC FRI NOV 15 2024

....PTWC TSUNAMI INFORMATION STATEMENT...


**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****

THIS STATEMENT IS ISSUED FOR INFORMATION ONLY IN SUPPORT OF THE
UNESCO/IOC PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING AND MITIGATION SYSTEM AND IS
MEANT FOR NATIONAL AUTHORITIES IN EACH COUNTRY OF THAT SYSTEM.

NATIONAL AUTHORITIES WILL DETERMINE THE APPROPRIATE LEVEL OF
ALERT FOR EACH COUNTRY AND MAY ISSUE ADDITIONAL OR MORE REFINED
INFORMATION.

**** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE **** NOTICE *****


PRELIMINARY EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS
---------------------------------

* MAGNITUDE 6.7
* ORIGIN TIME 0529 UTC NOV 15 2024
* COORDINATES 4.7 SOUTH 153.2 EAST
* DEPTH 52 KM / 33 MILES
* LOCATION NEW IRELAND REGION PAPUA NEW GUINEA


EVALUATION
----------

* AN EARTHQUAKE WITH A PRELIMINARY MAGNITUDE OF 6.7 OCCURRED IN
THE NEW IRELAND REGION, PAPUA NEW GUINEA AT 0529 UTC ON
FRIDAY NOVEMBER 15 2024.

* BASED ON ALL AVAILABLE DATA... THERE IS NO TSUNAMI THREAT
FROM THIS EARTHQUAKE.


RECOMMENDED ACTIONS
-------------------

* NO ACTION IS REQUIRED.


NEXT UPDATE AND ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
--------------------------------------

* THIS WILL BE THE ONLY STATEMENT ISSUED FOR THIS EVENT UNLESS
ADDITIONAL DATA ARE RECEIVED OR THE SITUATION CHANGES.

* AUTHORITATIVE INFORMATION ABOUT THE EARTHQUAKE FROM THE U.S.
GEOLOGICAL SURVEY CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT
EARTHQUAKE.USGS.GOV.

* FURTHER INFORMATION ABOUT THIS EVENT MAY BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF HAWAII... AMERICAN SAMOA... GUAM... AND
CNMI SHOULD REFER TO PACIFIC TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES
SPECIFICALLY FOR THOSE PLACES THAT CAN BE FOUND AT
WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

* COASTAL REGIONS OF CALIFORNIA... OREGON... WASHINGTON...
BRITISH COLUMBIA AND ALASKA SHOULD ONLY REFER TO U.S.
NATIONAL TSUNAMI WARNING CENTER MESSAGES THAT CAN BE FOUND
AT WWW.TSUNAMI.GOV.

$$

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm USAGI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 12:00 GMT

Tropical Storm USAGI is currently located near 21.5 N 119.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 50kts (58 mph). USAGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 90% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 75% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MAN-YI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 12:00 GMT

Typhoon MAN-YI is currently located near 11.5 N 129.0 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 100 kts (115 mph). MAN-YI is a category 3 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MAN-YI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Red Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 50% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours

Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 20% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 36 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 15% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 45% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Red Alert (Severe) is CAT 1 or above to between 31% and 100% probability.
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Tropical Storm USAGI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 6:00 GMT

Tropical Storm USAGI is currently located near 21.1 N 119.6 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 55kts (63 mph). USAGI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    Taiwan
        probability for TS is 75% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Kao-hsiung (22.6 N, 120.3 E)
        probability for TS is 55% within 12 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).

TSR Storm Alert - Typhoon MAN-YI

NW Pacific: Storm Alert issued at 15 Nov, 2024 6:00 GMT

Typhoon MAN-YI is currently located near 10.9 N 130.4 E with maximum 1-min sustained winds of 90 kts (104 mph). MAN-YI is a category 2 storm on the Saffir Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. MAN-YI is forecast to affect land to the following likelihood(s) at the given lead time(s):


Yellow Alert Country(s) or Province(s)
    the Philippines
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 30% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 65% in about 24 hours
Yellow Alert City(s) and Town(s)
    Oras (12.1 N, 125.4 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 60% in about 24 hours
    Sorsogon (13.0 N, 124.1 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 36 hours
        probability for TS is 55% in about 36 hours
    Daet (14.2 N, 122.9 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 25% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 50% in about 48 hours
    Tacloban (11.2 N, 125.2 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 24 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 24 hours
    Santiago (16.7 N, 121.5 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 40% in about 72 hours
    San Jose (15.8 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 35% in about 48 hours
    Manila (14.6 N, 121.0 E)
        probability for CAT 1 or above is 10% in about 48 hours
        probability for TS is 30% in about 48 hours

Note that
    Yellow Alert (Elevated) is CAT 1 or above to between 10% and 30% probability, or TS to above 50% probability.
    CAT 1 means Typhoon strength winds of at least 74 mph, 119 km/h or 64 knots 1-min sustained.
    TS means Tropical Storm strength winds of at least 39 mph, 63 km/h or 34 knots 1-min sustained.

Please note: This is a no reply e-mail address which cannot receive mail. For assistance and enquiries please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

For graphical forecast information and further details please visit https://www.tropicalstormrisk.com/

To change your TSR Email Alert registration details please contact TSRenquiries@tropicalstormrisk.com

To unsubscribe from the TSR Email Alert please use the online form here.

This alert is provided by Tropical Storm Risk (TSR).